NewsMarkets

Sports

McIlroy receives two-shot penalty at Abu Dhabi Championship

The golfer accepts the ruling after improving his lie on the 12th hole during the opening round.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 5 Nov 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SkySports, 58 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Rory McIlroy
0%50%100%7%29 Oct, 19:22 UTCnowwww.espn.com: McIlroy handed 2-shot penalty, admits video 'doesn't look very good' · 5 Nov, 15:27 UTCBBC Sport: McIlroy handed two-shot penalty for improving lie · 5 Nov, 14:28 UTCSkySports: 'I'm happy to take it and move on' - McIlroy explains reason behind two-shot penalty · 5 Nov, 13:30 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
5 Nov, 15:41 UTC7%
5 Nov, 15:25 UTC7%
5 Nov, 14:08 UTC7%
5 Nov, 13:23 UTC7%
5 Nov, 11:34 UTC7%
5 Nov, 06:40 UTC7%
5 Nov, 01:28 UTC8%
5 Nov, 00:16 UTC7%
4 Nov, 22:05 UTC8%
4 Nov, 18:57 UTC7%
4 Nov, 17:49 UTC8%
4 Nov, 16:20 UTC8%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC8%
4 Nov, 07:56 UTC8%
4 Nov, 06:14 UTC7%
4 Nov, 05:53 UTC8%
4 Nov, 05:09 UTC8%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC8%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC7%
3 Nov, 22:12 UTC8%
3 Nov, 21:11 UTC7%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC8%
3 Nov, 19:29 UTC8%
3 Nov, 16:55 UTC8%
3 Nov, 14:53 UTC7%
3 Nov, 14:18 UTC8%
3 Nov, 13:25 UTC8%
3 Nov, 07:41 UTC8%
3 Nov, 06:15 UTC8%
3 Nov, 05:54 UTC8%
3 Nov, 04:51 UTC7%
3 Nov, 02:30 UTC8%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC8%
3 Nov, 01:54 UTC7%
3 Nov, 00:19 UTC8%
2 Nov, 23:08 UTC8%
2 Nov, 18:49 UTC8%
2 Nov, 08:08 UTC8%
2 Nov, 05:24 UTC9%
2 Nov, 04:19 UTC8%
2 Nov, 01:24 UTC9%
1 Nov, 23:22 UTC8%
1 Nov, 22:53 UTC8%
1 Nov, 20:29 UTC9%
1 Nov, 19:30 UTC8%
1 Nov, 18:54 UTC8%
1 Nov, 17:42 UTC9%
1 Nov, 17:27 UTC9%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC9%
1 Nov, 15:38 UTC8%
1 Nov, 15:00 UTC8%
1 Nov, 14:09 UTC8%
1 Nov, 13:32 UTC8%
1 Nov, 13:24 UTC9%
1 Nov, 12:55 UTC9%
1 Nov, 09:08 UTC8%
1 Nov, 06:22 UTC9%
1 Nov, 04:43 UTC9%
1 Nov, 04:22 UTC9%
1 Nov, 02:29 UTC8%
1 Nov, 01:03 UTC8%
1 Nov, 00:14 UTC8%
31 Oct, 23:17 UTC9%
31 Oct, 22:43 UTC9%
31 Oct, 21:31 UTC9%
31 Oct, 21:10 UTC8%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC9%
31 Oct, 18:19 UTC8%
31 Oct, 17:49 UTC9%
31 Oct, 17:06 UTC9%
31 Oct, 15:22 UTC8%
31 Oct, 14:31 UTC9%
31 Oct, 11:50 UTC9%
31 Oct, 06:01 UTC9%
31 Oct, 04:57 UTC8%
31 Oct, 02:54 UTC9%
31 Oct, 02:12 UTC9%
31 Oct, 01:39 UTC9%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC9%
31 Oct, 00:24 UTC9%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC9%
30 Oct, 23:02 UTC9%
30 Oct, 21:17 UTC9%
30 Oct, 20:51 UTC9%
30 Oct, 20:29 UTC9%
30 Oct, 13:06 UTC9%
30 Oct, 06:56 UTC8%
30 Oct, 05:49 UTC9%
30 Oct, 05:21 UTC8%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC9%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC9%
29 Oct, 23:47 UTC9%
29 Oct, 22:17 UTC9%
29 Oct, 19:22 UTC9%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 5 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 5 November at 13:30 UTC; BBC Sport followed 58 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 5 November at 15:27 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Rory McIlroy — the market puts it at 7%, with $733 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Rory McIlroy wins the Masters Tournament. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his general performance rather than a specific requirement to win the tournament.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Rory McIlroy at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySports'I'm happy to take it and move on' - McIlroy explains reason behind two-shot penalty7%
  2. BBC SportMcIlroy handed two-shot penalty for improving lie7%
  3. www.espn.comMcIlroy handed 2-shot penalty, admits video 'doesn't look very good'7%
  4. Current odds7%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. McIlroy handed 2-shot penalty, admits video 'doesn't look very good' www.espn.com ·
  2. McIlroy handed two-shot penalty for improving lie BBC Sport
  3. 'I'm happy to take it and move on' - McIlroy explains reason behind two-shot penalty SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Rory McIlroy 7% −1 $733 24hends 25 Apr 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Rory McIlroy
  • Abu Dhabi Championship
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.