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Mayor Mamdani Partners With Neon For Free 'Harlem' Screenings Hot: Odds moved 35 points in 24 hours

The initiative brings free screenings of the documentary to three New York City venues on October 24 and 25.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 22 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Once Upon a Time in Harlem
0%50%100%70%21 Oct, 16:30 UTCnowDeadline: Mayor Zohran Mamdani & Neon Partner On Free ‘Once Upon A Time In Harlem’ Screenings Across NYC · 22 Oct, 17:31 UTCIndieWire: Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Neon to Present Free ‘Once Upon a Time in Harlem’ New York City Screenings · 22 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now70%
22 Oct, 17:38 UTC70%
21 Oct, 16:30 UTC35%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. IndieWire published first, on 22 October at 16:00 UTC; Deadline followed 1h 31m later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 22 October at 17:31 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: IndieWire, Deadline.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem — the market puts it at 70%, with $505 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film receives a nomination for Best Documentary Feature at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake general press coverage or other award nominations for the official Academy nomination list.
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem — the market puts it at 8%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film wins Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other nominations or wins for this outcome, but only a win in this exact category counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Mayor Zohran Mamdani & Neon Partner On Free ‘Once Upon A Time In Harlem’ Screenings Across NYC Deadline
  2. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Neon to Present Free ‘Once Upon a Time in Harlem’ New York City Screenings IndieWire

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Once Upon a Time in Harlem 70% +35 $505 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Once Upon a Time in Harlem 8% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Mamdan
  • Neon
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem
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