Man City beat Arsenal 4-2 to pressure manager Renee Slegers
Manchester City come from behind twice to defeat Arsenal 4-2 at the Etihad Stadium, increasing pressure on Gunners manager Renee Slegers.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 05:38 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 22:37 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 41% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 4 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 4 October at 17:53 UTC; BBC Sport followed 3h 27m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 4 October at 21:20 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SkySports, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 39%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins the specified match against Liverpool after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the result of that specific game, excluding extra time or penalties. Readers often mistake the resolution for relying on the final score including extra time or other matches.
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 33%, with $574 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Manchester City finishes in the top two of the 2026-27 English Premier League standings for Yes. Any other finish results in No. Readers often mistake this WSL match result for the EPL season outcome.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 62%, with $450 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Manchester City 39%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manchester City 33%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 62%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Manchester City
- Arsenal
- Renee Slegers