Larkin makes Red Wings season debut after trade request Hot: Odds moved 42 points in 24 hours
Dylan Larkin helps Detroit secure its first win of the year against Ottawa.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 65% |
| 1 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 48% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 6 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 6 October at 18:10 UTC; SI Feed followed 8h 03m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 7 October at 02:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Minnesota Wild — the market puts it at 11%, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Dylan Larkin joins the Minnesota Wild before November 1, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline date or assume any trade rumor counts instead of an official team change.
- Detroit Red Wings — the market puts it at 19%, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Patrik Laine joins the Detroit Red Wings before November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not join them by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Dylan Larkin for the relevant event.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Minnesota Wild 11% −42
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Detroit Red Wings 19%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Dylan Larkin
- Red Wings
- Senators