Karl Bushby Near Home After 28-Year Walk Across Globe
The British adventurer who has trekked 31,000 miles is expected to reach his mother's house in England next week.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 95% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 97% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 29 October at 09:29 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2030 — the market puts it at 99%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Karl Bushby arrives in Hull, England, before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if he does not reach that specific destination by that date. Readers often mistake the start of his walk for the deadline or assume any arrival in the UK counts instead of just Hull.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Before 2030 99%
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In this story
- Karl Bushby