Before 2030
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Karl Bushby arrives in Hull, England, before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if he does not reach that specific destination by that date. Readers often mistake the start of his walk for the deadline or assume any arrival in the UK counts instead of just Hull.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%