Jim Risch Wins Fourth Term in Idaho Senate Race

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 05:34 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Risch, 15+ pts — the market puts it at 99%, with $27 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho by a margin of 15 percentage points or more. It resolves to No if that party loses or wins by less than 15 percentage points. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Jim Risch’s past win for the current election result, but only the official outcome of the 2026 race counts.
• Republican party — the market puts it at 90%, with $25 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2029. The outcome is Yes if a Republican is sworn in as an Idaho Senator for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No if that specific condition does not happen. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the official rule depends on who takes office in 2029.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.