Jeremiah Smith Becomes Heisman Trophy Favorite Ahead of Week 7
Jeremiah Smith takes the top spot in the 2026 Heisman Trophy odds, while Arch Manning's chances decline following recent game results.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 56% |
| 12 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 55% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 55% |
| 12 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 55% |
| 12 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 62% |
| 12 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 56% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 65% |
| 11 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 65% |
| 11 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 66% |
| 11 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 65% |
| 11 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 66% |
| 11 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 53% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 54% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 47% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 11 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 11 October at 00:20 UTC; SI Feed followed 11h 24m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 11 October at 11:44 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? — the market puts it at 57%, with $139 traded in the last 24 hours. The Yes outcome occurs if Jeremiah Smith is officially named the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy. The No outcome applies if any other player wins or if no winner is announced by December 26, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline, but the market closes based on the specific cutoff time after the ceremony.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? 57% +3
Does the market have this right?
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In this story
- Jeremiah Smith
- CJ Carr
- Darian Mensah
- Trinidad Chambliss
- Keelon Russell
- Arch Manning