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Iraola says he will tell Liverpool players to dive after Isak penalty denial Hot: $68k traded on its market in 24 hours

Liverpool manager Andoni Iraola claims referee Andy Madley denied Alexander Isak a penalty in Arsenal's win at Anfield.

2 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 1 Nov 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Arsenal
0%50%100%5%26 Oct, 23:38 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: ‘We have to tell them to go down’: Iraola responds to Isak penalty denial for Liverpool · 1 Nov, 21:25 UTCBBC Sport: Were Arsenal 'lucky' not to concede penalty at Liverpool? · 2 Nov, 00:00 UTCBBC Sport: I'll tell my players to dive in future - Iraola · 1 Nov, 21:00 UTCBBC Sport: 'Everyone saw it' - Iraola confused by Isak penalty decision · 1 Nov, 19:37 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
26 Oct, 23:38 UTC5%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 1 Nov 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 1 November at 19:37 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 1h 47m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 2 November at 00:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Arsenal — the market puts it at 5%, closing 8 Sept 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland joins Arsenal as his next club before September 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked injury news about Bukayo Saka for relevant information, but only Haaland's transfer destination matters.
  • Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 5%, with $68k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Liverpool finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings. No resolves if any other team wins or if Liverpool is mathematically eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the start of the season for the deadline; the outcome depends on the final table after all matches are played.
  • Liverpool — the market puts it at 32%, with $23 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Liverpool wins the 2026-27 EFL Carabao Cup title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake a single match victory for winning the entire tournament.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. BBC Sport'Everyone saw it' - Iraola confused by Isak penalty decision5%
  2. BBC SportI'll tell my players to dive in future - Iraola5%
  3. The Guardian Sport‘We have to tell them to go down’: Iraola responds to Isak penalty denial for Liverpool5%
  4. BBC SportWere Arsenal 'lucky' not to concede penalty at Liverpool?5%
  5. Current odds5%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. ‘We have to tell them to go down’: Iraola responds to Isak penalty denial for Liverpool The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Were Arsenal 'lucky' not to concede penalty at Liverpool? BBC Sport
  3. I'll tell my players to dive in future - Iraola BBC Sport
  4. 'Everyone saw it' - Iraola confused by Isak penalty decision BBC Sport

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Arsenal 5% $0 24hends 8 Sept 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 5% −4 $68k 24hends 30 May 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Liverpool 32% +11 $23 24hends 4 Apr 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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