Iran Launches Nationwide 'Self-Sacrifice' Mobilisation Campaign
The IRGC is deploying the Janfada campaign to utilise main squares in all 31 provincial capitals across Iran.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 13:02 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 05:00 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 05:29 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 25 October at 10:50 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 0%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about US Senate actions for the actual event required for resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 0%
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In this story
- Iran
- IRGC