Indonesia Faces Multiplying Problems Two Years Into Prabowo's Presidency
General-turned-president Prabowo Subianto confronts growing challenges two years after taking office in Indonesia.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 6% |
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| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
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| 21 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 6% |
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| 21 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 6% |
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| 21 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 5% |
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| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 5% |
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| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 12:46 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 5% |
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| 20 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 5% |
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| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 5% |
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| 19 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 21 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 21 October at 03:49 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $919 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Prabowo Subianto stops being President at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, or detention. An official announcement of his departure triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the deadline for when he actually leaves office rather than when the event occurs.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? 5%
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In this story
- Prabowo
- Indonesia