IEA Cuts Oil Demand Forecast as Iran War Drags On
The International Energy Agency warns that global oil demand may fall further due to supply constraints from the conflict in Iran.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 37 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 4 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 14 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Sept, 12:03 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Sept, 00:19 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 13:52 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 12:31 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 10:19 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 04:34 UTC | 11% |
| 13 Sept, 01:22 UTC | 11% |
| 13 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 13% |
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 11 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 11 September at 08:00 UTC; News Feed followed 38 min later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 12 September at 14:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? — the market puts it at 4%, with $339 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsIEA Warns Oil Demand May Have to Fall Further as Iran War Drags—
- News FeedIEA warns of ‘lost period’ in global oil demand—
- Bloomberg MarketsIEA Cuts Its Forecast for Oil Demand—
- QuartzIEA is slashing its oil supply and demand forecasts as Iran war deepens—
- Bloomberg MarketsIran Nuclear Blind Spot Deepens as IAEA Loses Access13%
- Current odds4%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Iran Nuclear Blind Spot Deepens as IAEA Loses Access Bloomberg Markets ·
- IEA Cuts Its Forecast for Oil Demand Bloomberg Markets ·
- IEA warns of ‘lost period’ in global oil demand News Feed ·
- IEA Warns Oil Demand May Have to Fall Further as Iran War Drags Bloomberg Markets ·
- IEA is slashing its oil supply and demand forecasts as Iran war deepens Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? 4% −2
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In this story
- International Energy Agency
- Iran
- Toril Bosoni