Grant Forrest wins Open de Espana to secure major tournament invites
The Scottish golfer defeats home favourite Eugenio Chacarra by one shot in Madrid, earning qualification for The Open and the Masters.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 60% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 8 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 8 October at 18:38 UTC; BBC Sport followed 70h 32m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 12 October at 14:38 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SkySports, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra — resolved “Yes” on 11 Oct 2026.
- Joakim Lagergren — resolved “No” on 11 Oct 2026.
- Bernd Wiesberger — resolved “Yes” on 11 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsScotland's Syme and Forrest among Open de Espana leaders—
- SkySportsScotland's Forrest leads Open de Espana on day two—
- SkySportsForrest holds halfway lead at Open de Espana—
- SkySportsFormer delivery driver Dean tied with Forrest for lead at Open de Espana60%
- BBC SportForrest earns major invites with Spanish Open win60%
- SkySportsScotland's Forrest birdies final hole to snatch victory at Open de Espana60%
- BBC Sport'Validation and relief' for Forrest after huge Spanish Open win99%▲39 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- 'Validation and relief' for Forrest after huge Spanish Open win BBC Sport
- Scotland's Forrest birdies final hole to snatch victory at Open de Espana SkySports
- Forrest earns major invites with Spanish Open win BBC Sport
- Former delivery driver Dean tied with Forrest for lead at Open de Espana SkySports
- Forrest holds halfway lead at Open de Espana SkySports
- Scotland's Forrest leads Open de Espana on day two SkySports
- Scotland's Syme and Forrest among Open de Espana leaders SkySports
Markets on this story
- Resolved Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra Yes 32h ago
The market favoured Yes at 60% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Joakim Lagergren No 32h ago
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Bernd Wiesberger Yes 32h ago
The market favoured No at 63% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Grant Forrest
- Eugenio Chacarra
- Joe Dean
- Open de Espana