Joakim Lagergren
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 3%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 21% |
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%