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Cowboys vs. Buccaneers predictions for Week 5 Thursday Night Football Hot: $69k traded on its market in 24 hours

Analysts highlight concerns for Dallas as they prepare to face Tampa Bay, with Baker Mayfield sidelined by a thumb injury.

2 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 6 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
0%50%100%20%4 Oct, 19:56 UTCnowSI Feed: 3 Dallas Cowboys With Most to Prove Entering Week 5 · 7 Oct, 11:58 UTCSI Feed: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers: 3 Keys to Victory in Week 5 · 7 Oct, 11:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers predictions, odds, time: Week 5 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model · 6 Oct, 12:52 UTCSI Feed: Dallas Cowboys' 3 Biggest Concerns Entering Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 6 Oct, 11:20 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now20%
7 Oct, 12:50 UTC20%
6 Oct, 20:30 UTC21%
6 Oct, 00:36 UTC20%
5 Oct, 20:45 UTC19%
5 Oct, 19:56 UTC18%
4 Oct, 19:56 UTC19%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 6 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 6 October at 11:20 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 1h 31m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 7 October at 11:58 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys — the market puts it at 20%, with $69k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Oct 2026. The Buccaneers outcome resolves if they win the scheduled October 8 game, including any overtime. The Cowboys outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake a postponed game for a cancellation; the market stays open until the game is actually played rather than resolving immediately.
  • Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) — the market puts it at 47%, with $26k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Oct 2026. The Cowboys outcome resolves if they win by 10 or more points in the scheduled game on October 8 at 8:15 PM ET. The Buccaneers outcome resolves if the Cowboys win by fewer than 10 points, lose, or tie. Readers often mistake the margin requirement, thinking a win of exactly 9 points counts for the Cowboys when it actually triggers the Buccaneers outcome.
  • Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? — the market puts it at 8%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 18 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are declared the NFC South champion after the 2026 regular season concludes. The No outcome applies if any other team wins the division title or if the season ends without a declared winner. Readers often mistake a single game victory, such as the linked upset against the Browns, for the final division standing.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Buccaneers vs. Cowboys at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedDallas Cowboys' 3 Biggest Concerns Entering Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers20%
  2. CBS Sports HeadlinesCowboys vs. Buccaneers predictions, odds, time: Week 5 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model20%
  3. SI FeedCowboys vs. Buccaneers: 3 Keys to Victory in Week 521%▲1 points since the previous source
  4. SI Feed3 Dallas Cowboys With Most to Prove Entering Week 521%
  5. Current odds20%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. 3 Dallas Cowboys With Most to Prove Entering Week 5 SI Feed
  2. Cowboys vs. Buccaneers: 3 Keys to Victory in Week 5 SI Feed
  3. Cowboys vs. Buccaneers predictions, odds, time: Week 5 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  4. Dallas Cowboys' 3 Biggest Concerns Entering Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers SI Feed

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Buccaneers vs. Cowboys 20% $69k 24hends 9 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) 47% +1 $26k 24hends 9 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? 8% −3 $2k 24hends 18 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Baker Mayfield
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