Bernd Wiesberger
The market favoured No at 63% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$226
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 37% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%