Extreme Weather Threatens Georgia-Alabama College Football Game Hot: $73k traded on its market in 24 hours
A potential hurricane may force the No. 2 Georgia vs. No. 6 Alabama matchup in Tuscaloosa to be moved.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 49% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 57% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 6 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 6 October at 10:00 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 10h 53m later. The most recent article, from feeds.bleacherreport.com, appeared on 6 October at 20:52 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Georgia — the market puts it at 49%, with $73k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 12 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Georgia wins the football game against Alabama that was originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. The outcome depends solely on the final result of that specific matchup. Readers often mistake the resolution condition for whether the game actually takes place or is merely postponed.
- Georgia — the market puts it at 69%, closing 2 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Georgia college football team wins more regular-season games than the Alabama team during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if Georgia does not win more games. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about a single game rather than the total count of regular-season victories.
- Alabama — the market puts it at 74%, with $285 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Alabama qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Alabama does not qualify. Readers often mistake the deadline for the game results instead of the official playoff selection date.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Georgia 49%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Georgia 69%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Alabama 74% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Georgia
- Alabama
- James Spann