Dow Inc. Fourth-Quarter Earnings Nearly Double on Higher Prices and Cost Cuts Hot: Odds moved 14 points in 24 hours
The chemical company reported operating earnings of 71 cents a share, beating expectations as net sales rose 13%.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 85% |
| 21 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 99% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 22 October at 11:30 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 55 min later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 22 October at 12:26 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least $54,000 — the market puts it at 85%, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaches at least $54,000 on any day between June 16, 2026, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked earnings report for the resolution metric instead of the actual index value.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi At least $54,000 85% −14
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In this story
- Dow Inc.