Court Rules Against NCAA, Keeping Texas Tech QB Castellanos Eligible
A Kentucky judge denied emergency relief for the NCAA, allowing quarterback Thomas Castellanos and other players to remain eligible.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 1 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 01:03 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 00:21 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 25% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 26% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 27% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 02:44 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 29% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 59% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 58% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 58% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 58% |
| 20 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 56% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 58% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 59% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 57% |
| 19 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 55% |
| 19 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 54% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 49% |
| 17 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 49% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 50% |
| 16 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 46% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 50% |
| 16 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 47% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 46% |
| 16 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 46% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 46% |
| 15 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 45% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 45% |
| 15 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 46% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 46% |
| 13 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 45% |
| 13 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 45% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 50% |
| 13 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 49% |
| 13 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 50% |
| 13 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 50% |
| 12 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 51% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 50% |
| 12 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 51% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 50% |
| 11 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 53% |
| 11 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 46% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 48% |
| 11 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 47% |
| 11 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 45% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 42% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 44% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 43% |
| 9 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 42% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 42% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 45% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Oct, 08:49 UTC | 40% |
| 4 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 08:41 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 13:22 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 01:17 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 17:58 UTC | 54% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 30 October at 15:35 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Texas Tech — the market puts it at 32%, with $987 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Texas Tech qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if they do not. Readers often mistake the linked story about Austin Romaine’s interceptions as a factor in the outcome, but only playoff qualification matters.
- Texas Tech — the market puts it at 2%, with $11 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Texas Tech reaches the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake eligibility for a specific player as sufficient, but only the team's advancement matters.
- Texas Tech — the market puts it at 12%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Texas Tech qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals during the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about quarterback eligibility as the resolution criteria, but only playoff qualification matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Texas Tech 32% +7
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Texas Tech 2% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Texas Tech 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- NCAA
- Thomas Castellanos
- Texas Tech