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Coinbase Urges Bitcoin To Prepare For Quantum Computing Threat Now

The exchange advocates for flexible addresses and quantum-proof keys to secure funds before quantum computers become a viable threat.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 14 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Before 2027
0%50%100%5%7 Oct, 08:40 UTCnowCoinDesk: Coinbase, which holds 5% of all bitcoin, wants the quantum fix started now · 14 Oct, 05:44 UTCThe Block: Coinbase lays out flexible designs as key priority for Bitcoin’s post-quantum migration · 14 Oct, 02:49 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
14 Oct, 05:56 UTC5%
11 Oct, 15:40 UTC6%
11 Oct, 10:27 UTC5%
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10 Oct, 16:41 UTC5%
10 Oct, 14:13 UTC3%
10 Oct, 11:41 UTC5%
10 Oct, 10:24 UTC3%
10 Oct, 07:57 UTC5%
10 Oct, 06:44 UTC4%
10 Oct, 05:33 UTC5%
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10 Oct, 03:05 UTC5%
10 Oct, 01:53 UTC3%
10 Oct, 00:39 UTC4%
9 Oct, 18:20 UTC5%
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9 Oct, 05:45 UTC5%
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9 Oct, 00:55 UTC5%
8 Oct, 23:42 UTC4%
8 Oct, 18:46 UTC5%
8 Oct, 16:22 UTC4%
8 Oct, 15:04 UTC3%
8 Oct, 12:31 UTC4%
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8 Oct, 07:32 UTC4%
8 Oct, 06:18 UTC2%
8 Oct, 03:48 UTC3%
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8 Oct, 00:06 UTC3%
7 Oct, 21:37 UTC5%
7 Oct, 20:22 UTC4%
7 Oct, 15:24 UTC5%
7 Oct, 14:11 UTC4%
7 Oct, 10:22 UTC5%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC6%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 14 Oct 2026. The Block published first, on 14 October at 02:49 UTC; CoinDesk followed 2h 55m later. The most recent article, from CoinDesk, appeared on 14 October at 05:44 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), The Block.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Before 2027 — the market puts it at 5%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a wallet identified as Satoshi Nakamoto’s on Arkham’s Intel Explorer executes an Outflow or Swaps transaction before January 1, 2027, at 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Coinbase for the actual trigger, but only the specific blockchain activity on Arkham counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Coinbase, which holds 5% of all bitcoin, wants the quantum fix started now CoinDesk ·
  2. Coinbase lays out flexible designs as key priority for Bitcoin’s post-quantum migration The Block

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Before 2027 5% $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Coinbase
  • Bitcoin
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