Chris Rock’s Misty Green Premieres at New York Film Festival
The film features a stunning lead performance by Rosalind Eleazar in the comedian's fourth directorial effort.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 10 Oct 2026. The A.V. Club published first, on 10 October at 19:36 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 2h 21m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 10 October at 21:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The A.V. Club.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Misty Green — the market puts it at 1%, closing 3 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the film *Misty Green* wins the award for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the premiere of the film as the resolution event, but only the official award result counts.
- Rosalind Eleazar — the market puts it at 18%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Rosalind Eleazar receives a nomination for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the premiere of her film for eligibility, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Misty Green 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Rosalind Eleazar 18%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Chris Rock
- Rosalind Eleazar
- Misty Green
- New York Film Festival