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Chourio's Heroics Lead Brewers Past Padres in NLDS Game 1

Jackson Chourio hits a walk-off single to give Milwaukee a 2-0 lead over San Diego in the National League Division Series opener.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 4 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
0%50%100%0%4 Oct, 00:18 UTCnowwww.espn.com: More dramatics: Brewers' Chourio masters Padres' Miller for walk-off win · 5 Oct, 00:17 UTCSI Feed: Jackson Chourio Walks off Mason Miller, Padres in Dramatic Finish to NLDS Game 2 · 5 Oct, 00:05 UTCSI Feed: Jackson Chourio Makes Brewers History in Game 1 NLDS Victory · 4 Oct, 04:12 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
5 Oct, 00:18 UTC0%
4 Oct, 00:18 UTC45%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 4 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 4 October at 04:12 UTC; www.espn.com followed 20h 05m later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 5 October at 00:17 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers — resolved “No” on 5 Oct 2026.
  • Jackson Chourio — the market puts it at 6%, with $246 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jackson Chourio is named the National League Championship Series Most Valuable Player for the 2026 season. It resolves to No if he does not win this specific award. Readers often mistake the regular season MVP or the World Series MVP for the correct title.
  • Jackson Chourio — the market puts it at 7%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jackson Chourio is named the World Series Most Valuable Player for the 2026 season. It resolves to No if he does not receive this specific award. Readers often mistake winning any other postseason honor or simply playing in the World Series as sufficient for a Yes outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedJackson Chourio Makes Brewers History in Game 1 NLDS Victory45%
  2. SI FeedJackson Chourio Walks off Mason Miller, Padres in Dramatic Finish to NLDS Game 245%
  3. www.espn.comMore dramatics: Brewers' Chourio masters Padres' Miller for walk-off win45%
  4. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. More dramatics: Brewers' Chourio masters Padres' Miller for walk-off win www.espn.com ·
  2. Jackson Chourio Walks off Mason Miller, Padres in Dramatic Finish to NLDS Game 2 SI Feed
  3. Jackson Chourio Makes Brewers History in Game 1 NLDS Victory SI Feed

Markets on this story

  • Resolved Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers No 2h ago

    The market favoured No at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Jackson Chourio 6% $246 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Jackson Chourio 7% +3 $3k 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

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