Bitcoin ETFs Remain $1 Billion Below Break-Even Point in 2026
Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds continue to post net losses, leaving the asset class approximately $1 billion short of recovering its initial capital.
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The odds
All 1 source published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Sept 2026. CoinDesk published first, on 8 September at 11:26 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $730 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 8%, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? 0%
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Wrong market?
- Polymarket Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Bitcoin