Bank of England Explores Easing Limit on Riskier Mortgage Lending
The central bank considers lifting the threshold for higher-risk mortgages to boost home-ownership.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 31 Oct, 01:11 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 94% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 92% |
| 16 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 92% |
| 9 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 89% |
| 1 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 04:21 UTC | 95% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 31 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 31 October at 05:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Bank of England — the market puts it at 99%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Bank of England raises its Bank Rate after the linked story is published and before January 1, 2027. The resolution depends on confirmation from the relevant Source Agency. Readers often mistake the date of the news headline for the deadline or assume the balance sheet size determines the outcome instead of the interest rate decision.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Bank of England 99%
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In this story
- Bank of England