Bank of England
Implied probability 95%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 27 Sept, 04:21 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Bank of England raises its Bank Rate after the linked story is published and before January 1, 2027. The resolution depends on confirmation from the relevant Source Agency. Readers often mistake the date of the news headline for the deadline or assume the balance sheet size determines the outcome instead of the interest rate decision.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%