Antonelli Wins US Grand Prix, Keeps F1 Title Hopes Alive Hot: $143k traded on its market in 24 hours
Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the US Grand Prix in Austin to keep his championship hopes alive while Sergio Pérez finishes 19th.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 05:57 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 98% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 98% |
| 24 Oct, 22:05 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 98% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 98% |
| 24 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 96% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 96% |
| 23 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 95% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Andrea Kimi Antonelli respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 24 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 24 October at 22:35 UTC; France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo followed 23h 29m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 25 October at 22:24 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli — the market puts it at 98%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship. It resolves to No if he does not win the championship. Readers often mistake a single race victory for winning the overall season title.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — the market puts it at 100%, with $143k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Dec 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Kimi Antonelli finishes first in the 2026 F1 Drivers' standings, as determined by official Formula 1 results after the final scheduled race of that season. The No outcome applies if he does not finish first or if he becomes mathematically eliminated from contention before the season ends.
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? — the market puts it at 100%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Kimi Antonelli finishes in the top three positions of the official Final Classification for the race on Oct 25, 2026. The No outcome applies if he does not finish in those top three spots according to that specific classification. Readers often mistake the podium ceremony timing or post-race disqualifications as the deciding factor, but only the FIA's published Final Classification matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Andrea Kimi Antonelli at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI Feed¡Huele a campeón! Antonelli partirá desde la pole position en el GP de Estados Unidos97%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoAntonelli se impone en el GP de EE. UU. y acaricia el título de la Fórmula 199%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedAntonelli domina en Austin y aplaza su coronación; Checo Pérez termina en el lugar 1999%
- Current odds98%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Antonelli domina en Austin y aplaza su coronación; Checo Pérez termina en el lugar 19 SI Feed
- Antonelli se impone en el GP de EE. UU. y acaricia el título de la Fórmula 1 France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- ¡Huele a campeón! Antonelli partirá desde la pole position en el GP de Estados Unidos SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Andrea Kimi Antonelli 98%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? 100% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? 100% +22
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Kimi Antonelli
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Sergio Pérez
- Checo Pérez
- Mercedes
- Cadillac