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Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Implied probability 99%+23
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$645
Resolves1 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +28 points at 22:13 UTC, after BBC Sport: Antonelli wins in US but has to wait to secure title — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%50%100%99%24 Oct, 21:57 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
25 Oct, 23:01 UTC99%
25 Oct, 22:37 UTC99%
25 Oct, 22:13 UTC99%
24 Oct, 21:57 UTC71%

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Kimi Antonelli finishes in the top three positions of the official Final Classification for the race on Oct 25, 2026. The No outcome applies if he does not finish in those top three spots according to that specific classification. Readers often mistake the podium ceremony timing or post-race disqualifications as the deciding factor, but only the FIA's published Final Classification matters.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 99%
  • No 1%

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