Americans Hoard Canadian Maple Syrup Ahead Of Trump Tariffs
Quebec's strategic reserve is nearing depletion as US buyers stockpile syrup before tariffs take effect.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 25 Oct, 01:36 UTC | 71% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 24 Oct 2026. Fortune published first, on 24 October at 22:46 UTC; Inc. followed 26h 03m later. The most recent article, from Inc., appeared on 26 October at 00:49 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Fortune, Inc..
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 2.9 million gallons — the market puts it at 71%, closing 30 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the USDA NASS reports that Vermont's maple syrup production for 2027 exceeds 2.9 million gallons. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tariffs as the deciding factor, but only the official USDA report counts.
- Above 130,000 gallons — the market puts it at 87%, closing 30 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the USDA NASS reports that New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 exceeds 130,000 gallons. It resolves to No if that specific report shows production is 130,000 gallons or less. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news about maple syrup hoarding counts instead of only the official USDA NASS data.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Above 2.9 million gallons 71%
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- Kalshi Above 130,000 gallons 87%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Quebec Maple Syrup Producers