Above 2.9 million gallons
Implied probability 71%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves30 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 25 Oct, 01:36 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the USDA NASS reports that Vermont's maple syrup production for 2027 exceeds 2.9 million gallons. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tariffs as the deciding factor, but only the official USDA report counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 71%
- No 29%