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How much the press wrote about MI5 each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
Allies unveil deterrence plans as MI5 warns of hybrid warfare and Bulgaria summons Russia's ambassador after drone incidents.
Prime Minister Andy Burnham attributes the suspected attack on a US bomber base to Iran's IRGC and announces new sanctions.
MI5 head Ken McCallum confirms Russian interference via social media and TV, though Downing Street maintains the vote remained legitimate.