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How much the press wrote about John Thune each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 11:11 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 23:15 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 11:21 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 07:40 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 03:33 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 15:40 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 09:33 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 06:16 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 02:17 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 21:34 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 13:33 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 08:39 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 08:26 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 02:46 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 02:26 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 18:49 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 15:38 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Sept, 12:09 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 11:41 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 06:09 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 35% |
| 24 Sept, 04:43 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 03:32 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 03:20 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 36% |
Polls and projections indicate Democrats are poised to make significant gains in Congress, prompting Republicans to ramp up campaigning while outside groups pour millions into key Senate races.
Republicans and Democrats criticize White House ads promoting Trump as illegal misuse of public funds ahead of midterm elections.
Kalshi Before Oct 1, 2026 1%Senate Majority Leader John Thune schedules votes on bills banning lawmaker stock trades and regulating data centers to support embattled Republican incumbents ahead of midterm elections.