Xi Jinping leads Politburo meeting to signal anti-corruption drive ahead of plenum

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 22 Oct 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 22 October at 10:18 UTC; News Feed followed 34h 42m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 23 October at 21:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), South China Morning Post.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Xi Jinping — the market puts it at 2%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Xi Jinping officially announces his intention to step down as General Secretary or actually leaves that role before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake a news report about him leading meetings for an announcement of departure.
• Xi Jinping — the market puts it at 7%, with $241 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet via any method, including a phone call, during October 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the meeting must occur before or after that specific month.
• Chen Jining — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2045. The market resolves to Yes if Chen Jining is officially announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party before January 1, 2045. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any interim appointment or general political promotion for a final leadership announcement.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.