Venezuela's Debt Rework Next Step Due Very Soon, Official Says
Economy Vice President Calixto Ortega states that the publication of Venezuela’s debt sustainability assessment remains a priority despite delays caused by recent earthquakes.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 14 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 14 October at 09:25 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio officially holds the position of Venezuela's head of state on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET. It resolves to No if any other individual holds that role or if no one holds it. Readers often mistake a nomination or appointment for actual leadership, but only confirmed, sworn-in officials count.
- Venezuela — the market puts it at 12%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the US Secretary of State visits Venezuela before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Milei for the actual resolution condition.
- Nicolás Maduro — the market puts it at 6%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nicolás Maduro is the de facto head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026. It resolves to No if he does not hold that position by that date. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? 0%
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- Kalshi Venezuela 12%
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- Kalshi Nicolás Maduro 6%
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In this story
- Calixto Ortega
- Venezuela