Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$46k
Total volume$1.5M
Liquidity$172k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio officially holds the position of Venezuela's head of state on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET. It resolves to No if any other individual holds that role or if no one holds it. Readers often mistake a nomination or appointment for actual leadership, but only confirmed, sworn-in officials count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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