US Urges Venezuela To Follow Phased Plan For Democratic Transition

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Nov 2026. National Review published first, on 1 November at 11:30 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 38h 57m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 3 November at 02:27 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), National Review.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Donald Trump win the next Venezuelan presidential election? — the market puts it at 3%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2030. The Yes outcome occurs if Donald Trump wins the next Venezuelan presidential election held by December 31, 2029. The No outcome applies if another candidate wins that same election. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but the result depends strictly on the official declaration by Venezuela's National Electoral Council or its successor.
• Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Venezuela’s National Electoral Council formally calls a presidential election before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such formal call occurs by that date. Readers often mistake news reports of opposition plans or exile returns for an official electoral decision.
• María Corina Machado — the market puts it at 5%, with $187 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if María Corina Machado effectively serves as Venezuela's head of state by the end of 2026. The outcome is No if she does not hold that position at that time. Readers often mistake public rallies or political influence for actual executive power.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.