Will Donald Trump win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Why it moved: −7 points at 02:37 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: US urges Venezuela to follow phased plan for democratic transition — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Donald Trump wins the next Venezuelan presidential election held by December 31, 2029. The No outcome applies if another candidate wins that same election. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but the result depends strictly on the official declaration by Venezuela's National Electoral Council or its successor.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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