US Supreme Court to hear case on race in school admissions
The justices will review a challenge to Maryland middle school policies, testing the limits of its 2023 affirmative action ruling.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 21% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 19 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 19 October at 14:49 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 13h 49m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 20 October at 04:38 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2029 — the market puts it at 21%, closing 1 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the US Supreme Court issues a ruling that lifts the ban on transgender girls and women competing in female sports teams before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if the Court does not issue such a ruling within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about inmate care for the actual resolution criteria regarding sports teams.
- Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory — the market puts it at 6%, with $122 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari for Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that action does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Australia as relevant, but only the U.S. Supreme Court's decision matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2029 21%
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- Kalshi Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory 6% +1
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In this story
- US Supreme Court