NewsMarkets

World

UN: Greenhouse Gas Levels Hit Record Highs in 2025

The UN reports that carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide concentrations reached unprecedented levels last year, locking in long-term climate impacts.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 27 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Before 2050
0%50%100%66%21 Oct, 06:44 UTCnowSouth China Morning Post: Greenhouse gas levels hit record highs, climate impact will last centuries: UN · 27 Oct, 10:08 UTCNew Scientist: Major greenhouse gases rise again to record levels · 27 Oct, 09:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now66%
21 Oct, 06:44 UTC66%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 27 Oct 2026. New Scientist published first, on 27 October at 09:00 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 1h 09m later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 27 October at 10:08 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: New Scientist, South China Morning Post.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Before 2050 — the market puts it at 66%, closing 1 Jan 2050. The outcome is Yes if global temperatures hit or pass 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels in any single year before January 1, 2050. The outcome is No if that threshold remains unbreached by the deadline. Readers often mistake this for a long-term average rather than a specific annual peak.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Greenhouse gas levels hit record highs, climate impact will last centuries: UN South China Morning Post
  2. Major greenhouse gases rise again to record levels New Scientist

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before 2050 66% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2050

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.