U.S. Takes Stake in Japan-Funded Chip Factory in New York
The administration funnels Japanese funds into a government-owned chip factory in upstate New York, taking a cut of the business.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:14 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 23 October at 15:59 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- China — the market puts it at 6%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of talks for the actual passage of legislation.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi China 6%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- New York Times