Turkey, Pakistan, Qatar and Indonesia sign defence pact to boost military cooperation
The four nations signed the Badr Memorandum of Understanding in Doha to integrate their defence industries and reduce reliance on Western armaments.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 10% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Saudi Arabia respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 27 Oct 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 27 October at 02:23 UTC; ABC News followed 11h 52m later. The most recent article, from ABC News, appeared on 27 October at 14:15 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Saudi Arabia — the market puts it at 4%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Saudi Arabia establish formal diplomatic ties before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about military cooperation or economic deals rather than official diplomatic normalization.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Saudi Arabia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Saudi Arabia 4% −5
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