Trump Says Norway 'Sucks' After Missing Nobel Peace Prize Hot: $51k traded on its market in 24 hours

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 26 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 26 October at 14:12 UTC; The Hill followed 10 min later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 26 October at 15:11 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Times of India.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? — the market puts it at 9%, with $51k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Apr 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump is named a recipient of the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize in an official announcement by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. It resolves to No if he does not win or if no such announcement occurs by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the deadline for the prize award date rather than the final cutoff for any official announcement.
• Norway — the market puts it at 10%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically enters Norway between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not enter during that period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the Nobel Prize for the actual condition, but only his physical presence in the country counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.