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Trump Says He Regrets Nominating Justices Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and Barrett

The president told Time Magazine he regrets appointing the three conservative justices to the Supreme Court.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 1 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Clarence Thomas
0%50%100%48%27 Sept, 13:30 UTCnowThe Hill: Trump says he regrets nominating Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and Barrett · 1 Oct, 14:42 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now48%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC48%
28 Sept, 14:06 UTC52%
27 Sept, 13:30 UTC47%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 1 October at 14:42 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Clarence Thomas — the market puts it at 48%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Clarence Thomas resigns or announces his intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not take either action by that date. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the actual resignation date.
  • Not nine justices — the market puts it at 10%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court has an equal number of justices appointed by Republican and Democratic presidents on January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that balance is not achieved by that date. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the start of the new term rather than the specific deadline of January 20, 2029.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Trump says he regrets nominating Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and Barrett The Hill ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Clarence Thomas 48% $0 24hends 20 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Not nine justices 10% $0 24hends 20 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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