Clarence Thomas
Why it moved: +5 points at 14:06 UTC, after Just In News: The legacy of Clarence Thomas will be declining trust in the Supreme Court — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Clarence Thomas resigns or announces his intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not take either action by that date. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the actual resignation date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%