Trump Considering Deportation Of Congresswoman Ilhan Omar
Questions have arisen regarding whether Donald Trump could legally deport Congresswoman Ilhan Omar from the United States.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 22 October at 02:34 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 3%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes only if Ilhan Omar is physically removed from the United States by an official government order before 11:59 PM ET in 2026. Voluntary departure, extradition, or a removal order that has not yet been implemented do not count as deportation. Readers often mistake credible news reports of potential deportation for actual enforcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? 3%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Ilhan Omar