Tony Gilroy Reveals How Pedro Pascal Saved 'Behemoth!' After Oscar Isaac's Exit
The writer-director explains how casting Pascal replaced Oscar Isaac and helped the film explore new varieties of loneliness.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Oct, 17:41 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 17:02 UTC | 23% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 30 October at 17:40 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Behemoth! — the market puts it at 30%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film "Behemoth!" receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive such a nomination. Readers often mistakenly believe that any mention of the film in news articles or awards buzz counts toward resolution, but only an official nomination from the Academy matters.
- Behemoth — the market puts it at 11%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Behemoth receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if the film does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the submission of the film for an Oscar as sufficient, but only an official nomination counts.
- Behemoth — the market puts it at 1%, with $66 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Behemoth wins the Best Picture award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake the nomination or submission for the actual win.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Behemoth! 30% +1
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- Kalshi Behemoth 11%
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- Kalshi Behemoth 1%
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In this story
- Tony Gilroy
- Pedro Pascal
- Oscar Isaac