Supreme Court Rejects Appeal in Kari Lake Voting Machine Sanctions Case
The US Supreme Court declined to hear the appeal, leaving intact an appeals court ruling that upheld sanctions against a lawyer representing former GOP gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 13 October at 13:38 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Ruben Gallego — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Ruben Gallego votes in favor of appointing Kari Lake as U.S. Ambassador to Jamaica before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked Supreme Court case for the relevant event, but only Gallego's specific vote on this ambassadorial nomination counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi Ruben Gallego 1%
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In this story
- Supreme Court
- Kari Lake