Starbucks Beats Earnings Estimates as US Sales Surge 7.7%
The coffee chain reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of 80 cents per share, surpassing analyst expectations despite a lower stock price.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by CNBC, 1h 00m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 29 Oct 2026. CNBC published first, on 29 October at 19:30 UTC; Quartz followed 1h 00m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 29 October at 21:54 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CNBC (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Quartz, MarketWatch.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 41800 — resolved “No” on 29 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Starbucks reports having more than 41,800 total global stores in 2026. It resolves to No if that number is 41,800 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for the store closure announcement date instead of the end of 2026.
- Above 91 — the market puts it at 98%, closing 8 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Carbon Arc Starbucks Foot Traffic metric for October 2026 exceeds 91. It resolves to No if that specific metric is 91 or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news story about earnings for the actual data source, but only the official Carbon Arc foot traffic count determines the outcome.
- Above 368 thousand — the market puts it at 6%, closing 10 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Starbucks Corporation reports a headcount above 368,000 for fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if the reported headcount is 368,000 or lower. Readers often mistake the current stock price mentioned in the linked story for the employee count required for resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 41800 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CNBCStarbucks is about to report earnings. Here's what to expect—
- QuartzStarbucks beat earnings estimates as its U.S. turnaround continued5%
- Bloomberg MarketsStarbucks Foot Traffic Outpaces Others, Says Hottovy5%
- MarketWatchA Starbucks turnaround is brewing — but perhaps not quickly enough5%
- News FeedStarbucks to resume share buybacks but China shift clouds growth outlook5%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Starbucks to resume share buybacks but China shift clouds growth outlook News Feed ·
- Starbucks Foot Traffic Outpaces Others, Says Hottovy Bloomberg Markets ·
- Starbucks is about to report earnings. Here's what to expect CNBC ·
- A Starbucks turnaround is brewing — but perhaps not quickly enough MarketWatch
- Starbucks beat earnings estimates as its U.S. turnaround continued Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Above 41800 No 22m ago
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 91 98%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 368 thousand 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Starbucks
- R.J. Hottovy