Antonelli tops final practice ahead of Spanish Grand Prix in Madrid
Championship leader Kimi Antonelli sets the fastest time in final practice for the Spanish Grand Prix as Lewis Hamilton crashes and George Russell expresses tyre wear concerns.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by BBC Sport, 19 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 13:59 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Sept, 12:59 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 12:07 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 09:51 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 08:39 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 07:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 03:58 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 18:53 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 17% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 11 Sept 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 11 September at 12:46 UTC; SkySports followed 19 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 14 September at 10:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? — resolved “No” on 13 Sept 2026.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — the market puts it at 93%, with $36k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Dec 2026.
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? — resolved “No” on 13 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportPacesetter Russell says Madrid 'has less margin than Monaco'—
- SkySportsRussell tops first practice in Madrid as Hamilton frustrates other drivers—
- SkySports'A six-stop race!' - Russell reveals fears over tyre wear at new Madrid track—
- SkySportsHamilton crashes as Antonelli tops final practice in Madrid17%
- The Guardian SportFormula One 2026: Spanish Grand Prix qualifying at the Madring – live17%
- SkySportsMadrid madness! Antonelli goes wide TWICE on opening lap4%▼13 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportSpanish GP plans to change Madring after fierce criticism from F1 drivers0%▼4 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Spanish GP plans to change Madring after fierce criticism from F1 drivers The Guardian Sport ·
- Formula One 2026: Spanish Grand Prix qualifying at the Madring – live The Guardian Sport ·
- Madrid madness! Antonelli goes wide TWICE on opening lap SkySports
- Hamilton crashes as Antonelli tops final practice in Madrid SkySports
- 'A six-stop race!' - Russell reveals fears over tyre wear at new Madrid track SkySports
- Russell tops first practice in Madrid as Hamilton frustrates other drivers SkySports
- Pacesetter Russell says Madrid 'has less margin than Monaco' BBC Sport
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? No 43d ago
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? 93% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? No 43d ago
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Kimi Antonelli
- Lewis Hamilton
- George Russell
- Mercedes
- Spanish Grand Prix