Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$39k
Resolved20 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 13:59 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Sept, 12:59 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 12:07 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 09:51 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 08:39 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 07:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 03:58 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 18:53 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 17% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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