NewsMarkets

Culture

Robert Downey Jr and Pedro Pascal Swap Avengers Roles for Halloween

The actors traded MCU costumes ahead of the December 18 premiere of Avengers: Doomsday.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 1 Nov 2026 · updated 7h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Pedro Pascal
0%50%100%15%31 Oct, 21:57 UTCnowThe A.V. Club: Robert Downey Jr and Pedro Pascal swap Avengers alter egos for Halloween · 1 Nov, 16:54 UTCDeadline: Robert Downey Jr. & Pedro Pascal Serve MCU Role Reversal For Halloween: “Costume Swap!” · 1 Nov, 05:35 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now15%
31 Oct, 21:57 UTC15%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Nov 2026. Deadline published first, on 1 November at 05:35 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 11h 19m later. The most recent article, from The A.V. Club, appeared on 1 November at 16:54 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Deadline, The A.V. Club.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Pedro Pascal — the market puts it at 15%, closing 1 Jan 2029. The market resolves to "Yes" if Pedro Pascal is officially cast in the next Marvel Studios X-Men movie before January 1, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake any rumored casting or roles in non-Marvel projects as counting toward this outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Robert Downey Jr and Pedro Pascal swap Avengers alter egos for Halloween The A.V. Club
  2. Robert Downey Jr. & Pedro Pascal Serve MCU Role Reversal For Halloween: “Costume Swap!” Deadline

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Pedro Pascal 15% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Robert Downey Jr.
  • Pedro Pascal
  • Avengers: Doomsday
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.